A new NFL season begins Thursday night when the Chiefs host the Lions at Arrowhead Stadium.
Kansas City is the Super Bowl favorite and Detroit has emerged as a potential title contender this summer. But what are those teams’ odds to win their division? What are their win totals set at? And where does the rest of the league stand from a betting perspective?
Below is your one-stop shop for preseason NFL odds, via SI Sportsbook, where you’ll find Super Bowl, conference championship and division title odds as well as odds to make and miss the playoffs and win totals for all 32 squads.
Super Bowl: +600
AFC Championship: +333
AFC West: -167
To Make Playoffs: -500
To Miss Playoffs: +350
Win Total: 11.5
The defending Super Bowl champs are the favorites to repeat, something no team has done since the 2003-04 Patriots. Kansas City has won the AFC West every year since 2016 and has not won fewer than 12 games in a season since Patrick Mahomes became the starter in 2018. The Chiefs also have the best odds (+400) to post the best record in the NFL.
Philadelphia Eagles
Super Bowl: +700
NFC Championship: +300
NFC East: -120
To Make Playoffs: -500
To Miss Playoffs: +330
Win Total: 11.5
Only seven teams in league history have returned to the Super Bowl the season after the Big Game and only two of those teams avenged their defeat. It’s also been 18 years since the NFC East had a repeat division champ, though Philadelphia (2001-04) was the last team to accomplish that feat. History is against the Eagles winning their division and the title but they have great odds to do both.
Buffalo Bills
Super Bowl: +900
AFC Championship: +450
AFC East: +125
To Make Playoffs: -250
To Miss Playoffs: +200
Win Total: 10.5
Buffalo has the second-most wins over the last three years after Kansas City and only one AFC Championship appearance to show for it. The Bills began 2022 as the Super Bowl favorites but are now tied with the 49ers and Bengals for the third-best odds to win it all. The three-time reigning AFC East champs are the favorites to make it four in a row despite tougher competition in the division.
San Francisco 49ers
Super Bowl: +900
NFC Championship: +350
NFC West: -175
To Make Playoffs: -500
To Miss Playoffs: +320
Win Total: 11.5
San Francisco has been one of the final four teams standing in three of the past four seasons and fell short each time. The 49ers ran away with the NFC West in 2022 but that was only their second first-place finish in six years under Kyle Shanahan. They are one of four odds-on division favorites heading into 2023.
Super Bowl: +900
AFC Championship: +500
AFC North: +130
To Make Playoffs: -275
To Miss Playoffs: +200
Win Total: 11.5
Cincinnati is tied with Kansas City, Philadelphia and San Francisco for the highest win total in the NFL and owns the third-best odds (+750) to have the best record in the NFL. The Bengals are the favorites to three-peat atop the AFC North, something no team has done since the Steelers (1994-97) back when it was still the AFC Central.
Dallas Cowboys
Super Bowl: +1400
NFC Championship: +600
NFC East: +180
To Make Playoffs: -213
To Miss Playoffs: +170
Win Total: 9.5
Dallas hasn’t made it past the divisional round since the turn of the century. The Cowboys have, however, turned in back-to-back 12-win seasons and find themselves firmly in the top tier of NFC contenders along with the Eagles and the 49ers, who have sent them packing two Januays in a row.
New York Jets
Super Bowl: +1600
AFC Championship: +800
AFC East: +225
To Make Playoffs: -150
To Miss Playoffs: +105
Win Total: 9.5
The longest active playoff drought in professional sports is expected to be broken this season. The last time the Jets made the playoffs was in 2010, the same year Aaron Rodgers won the Super Bowl with Green Bay, and it’s been even longer since they last won the AFC East. New York’s new quarterback is expected to take the team to the postseason and potentially vie for a title once there.
Detroit Lions
Super Bowl: +2000
NFC Championship: +900
NFC North: +130
To Make Playoffs: -188
To Miss Playoffs: +140
Win Total: 9.5
Detroit’s last playoff appearance was in 2016 and its last division title was in 1993. Both droughts are projected to end this season as the Lions are the new team to beat in the NFC North with Rodgers no longer in Green Bay.
Super Bowl: +2000
AFC Championship: +1000
AFC North: +215
To Make Playoffs: -188
To Miss Playoffs: +140
Win Total: 9.5
Baltimore has the best odds to end Cincinnati’s reign atop the AFC North. The Ravens are tied for the third-most wins in the NFL since 2018 and have won 10 or more games in four of the last five seasons.
Los Angeles Chargers
Super Bowl: +2000
AFC Championship: +1200
AFC West: +300
To Make Playoffs: -125
To Miss Playoffs: -111
Win Total: 9.5
The Chargers have improved on their win total three years in a row and finally ended their playoff drought in 2022. Los Angeles is expected to return to the postseason, and has the roster to make a run once there, but the path through the AFC is daunting.
Miami Dolphins
Super Bowl: +2000
AFC Championship: +1200
AFC East: +300
To Make Playoffs: -111
To Miss Playoffs: -111
Win Total: 9.5
Miami has finished with a winning record three years in a row and has just one playoff appearance to show for it. On paper, the Dolphins are one of the most talented teams in the NFL — their even odds to return to the postseason reflect the lingering health question at quarterback after Tua Tagovailoa missed four games (and the wild-card round) due to two separate concussions.
Jacksonville Jaguars
Super Bowl: +2500
AFC Championship: +1400
AFC South: -161
To Make Playoffs: -200
To Miss Playoffs: +160
Win Total: 9.5
Jacksonville is one of the heaviest division favorites in the league. Last season marked the first time in five years that Jacksonville won the AFC South and that is now the expectation after the leap that Trevor Lawrence took in his sophomore season, his first with coach Doug Pederson.
Super Bowl: +3300
NFC Championship: +1400
NFC South: +120
To Make Playoffs: -200
To Miss Playoffs: +150
Win Total: 9.5
The Saints won four straight NFC South titles from 2017-20 under Sean Payton but they’ve missed the playoffs outright each of the last two years. New Orleans has the best odds to finish first in Dennis Allen’s second season at the helm and is a heavy favorite to make the playoffs with one of the easiest schedules in the league.
Seattle Seahawks
Super Bowl: +3300
NFC Championship: +1400
NFC West: +200
To Make Playoffs: -125
To Miss Playoffs: -111
Win Total: 8.5
Seattle’s run to the playoffs was one of the NFL’s biggest surprises last season. This year, the Seahawks won’t be catching anyone by surprise but their odds are still relatively modest given their 2022 success. They’re tied for the fifth-best odds to represent the NFC in the Super Bowl and are projected to finish second in their division.
Cleveland Browns
Super Bowl: +3300
AFC Championship: +1600
AFC North: +350
To Make Playoffs: +100
To Miss Playoffs: -125
Win Total: 8.5
The expectations are higher this year in Cleveland with Deshaun Watson available for the entire season. Even still, the Browns have the third-best odds to win their division, which they haven’t done since 1989, and in a deep AFC they’re more likely to miss the playoffs again than return to the postseason for the first time since 2020.
Denver Broncos
Super Bowl: +3300
AFC Championship: +2200
AFC West: +500
To Make Playoffs: +180
To Miss Playoffs: -213
Win Total: 8.5
The Broncos have finished last in the AFC West three years in a row. Sean Payton’s arrival in the Mile High City should see that streak come to an end, but just how high can he take this team? The odds are against Denver ending a seven-year playoff drought.
Super Bowl: +4000
NFC Championship: +900
NFC North: +280
To Make Playoffs: +100
To Miss Playoffs: -133
Win Total: 8.5
Minnesota performed historically well in one-score games last season en route to a shocking 13-win campaign. The Vikings are widely expected to regress but the race in the NFC North could be tight. No team has odds longer than +375 to win the division.
New York Giants
Super Bowl: +4000
NFC Championship: +1600
NFC East: +600
To Make Playoffs: +160
To Miss Playoffs: -200
Win Total: 7.5
Brian Daboll led the Giants to a five-win improvement and a postseason appearance in 2022. Even after an offseason that saw the front office retain both quarterback Daniel Jones and running back Saquon Barkley, their odds are long to make it back this year. It doesn’t help that New York plays in one of the league’s toughest divisions.
Chicago Bears
Super Bowl: +4000
NFC Championship: +2500
NFC North: +333
To Make Playoffs: +170
To Miss Playoffs: -250
Win Total: 7.5
The Bears are a somewhat trendy pick to take a real step forward this year even after they were awarded with the No. 1 pick for their 3–14 record in 2022. The improvements around quarterback Justin Fields could allow Chicago to put up a fight in the NFC North, even though it has longer odds to win the division than Detroit and Minnesota.
Green Bay Packers
Super Bowl: +4000
NFC Championship: +1800
NFC North: +375
To Make Playoffs: +180
To Miss Playoffs: -250
Win Total: 7.5
Green May missed the playoffs a season ago for the first time in four years under Matt LaFleur. And now with Jordan Love taking over for Rodgers at quarterback, the Packers have the worst odds to win their division.
Super Bowl: +4000
AFC Championship: +2500
AFC West: +1400
To Make Playoffs: +350
To Miss Playoffs: -500
Win Total: 6.5
Las Vegas followed up its 2021 postseason run with a disappointing 6–11 campaign. There’s no clear path back to the playoffs for the Raiders, who are long shots to return there this season and projected to finish fourth in the AFC West.
Carolina Panthers
Super Bowl: +5000
NFC Championship: +2200
NFC South: +350
To Make Playoffs: +170
To Miss Playoffs: -250
Win Total: 7.5
There’s a lot that’s new in Carolina. New coach, new quarterback. What isn’t new is that the Panthers are projected to miss the postseason for the sixth straight season. Carolina finished second in the NFC South a season ago behind Tampa Bay but is now firmly behind both New Orleans and Atlanta in the division hierarchy.
Los Angeles Rams
Super Bowl: +5000
NFC Championship: +2500
NFC West: +800
To Make Playoffs: +250
To Miss Playoffs: -333
Win Total: 6.5
The Rams hoisted the Lombardi Trophy at the conclusion of the 2021 season. Now they’re tied for the third-best odds (+900) to finish with the worst record in the league. There are some notable holdovers from the Super Bowl-winning team, but overall Los Angeles is a very young team.
Pittsburgh Steelers
Super Bowl: +5000
AFC Championship: +2800
AFC North: +550
To Make Playoffs: +120
To Miss Playoffs: -161
Win Total: 8.5
Mike Tomlin has never finished with a losing record. Pittsburgh has also never finished last in the AFC North in 16 seasons with Tomlin on the sideline, which makes it especially surprising to see the Steelers with a win total set at 8.5 and own the longest odds to win their division.
New England Patriots
Super Bowl: +5000
AFC Championship: +2800
AFC East: +700
To Make Playoffs: +240
To Miss Playoffs: -333
Win Total: 7.5
The Patriots have never missed the playoffs in back-to-back seasons under Bill Belichick, something they’re in danger of doing this year in a loaded AFC East and AFC at large. Also keep in mind a Bill Belichick-coached New England team has won fewer than eight games just twice (2000, 2020).
Atlanta Falcons
Super Bowl: +6600
NFC Championship: +2500
NFC South: +225
To Make Playoffs: +105
To Miss Playoffs: -143
Win Total: 8.5
The Falcons haven’t made the postseason since 2017 but they have a shot to return this year. Atlanta’s implied playoff odds are just above 40% and the team has the second-best odds to win the NFC South after New Orleans.
Super Bowl: +6600
AFC Championship: +4000
AFC South: +333
To Make Playoffs: +225
To Miss Playoffs: -333
Win Total: 7.5
Tennessee has the second-best odds to win the AFC South but it’s worth noting the race came down to Week 18 last season. The Titans have only won fewer than nine games once in five years under Mike Vrabel and it took an injury-ravaged campaign for that to happen in 2022.
Washington Commanders
Super Bowl: +6600
NFC Championship: +2800
NFC East: +1000
To Make Playoffs: +300
To Miss Playoffs: -350
Win Total: 6.5
The Commanders are a contender to finish with the worst record in the NFL (+1200) and a long shot to make much noise in the NFC East. However, Washington has won at least seven games in three seasons under coach Ron Rivera.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Super Bowl: +6600
NFC Championship: +3300
NFC South: +600
To Make Playoffs: +350
To Miss Playoffs: -549
Win Total: 6.5
Two seasons removed from winning the Super Bowl, Tampa Bay has the second-best odds to be the NFL’s worst team (+850). The Buccaneers won their division each of the last two years and now they have the longest odds to finish first in the NFC South.
Indianapolis Colts
Super Bowl: +9000
NFC Championship: +5000
AFC South: +500
To Make Playoffs: +350
To Miss Playoffs: -2500
Win Total: 6.5
The streak continues in Indianapolis. When rookie Anthony Richardson lines up under center Week 1 it will mark the team’s eighth straight year with a different starting quarterback. Expectations for the Colts are tempered after a disastrous 2022 season in which they entered as the AFC South favorites and stumbled to a third-place finish.
Houston Texans
Super Bowl: +10000
AFC Championship: +8000
AFC South: +750
To Make Playoffs: +550
To Miss Playoffs: -1000
Win Total: 5.5
The Texans haven't won more than four games in a season since 2019. Houston’s expectations are marginally higher this year but this team is still among the favorites to post the league’s worst record (+900).
Arizona Cardinals
Super Bowl: +10000
NFC Championship: +6600
NFC West: +2000
To Make Playoffs: +1100
To Miss Playoffs: -250
Win Total: 4.5
With a first-year head coach and a quarterback who is recovering from an ACL tear, Arizona is a heavy favorite to finish with the worst record in the NFL (+260). If the Cardinals indeed do so it will be the second time in six years they end up with the No. 1 pick.
